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Russia and Ukraine are holding their first direct talks in years in Istanbul today, a development driven by US President Donald Trump’s insistence on “immediate” peace negotiations.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy will meet Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, with Russian President Vladimir Putin’s attendance uncertain. Russia’s deputy foreign minister confirmed direct contact between delegations, raising hopes for de-escalation in the ongoing war.

The talks follow months of stalemate and heavy fighting, with Ukraine under pressure to negotiate amid waning Western support. Trump’s suggestion that he might join the talks underscores US influence, though his comments about Putin’s potential absence highlight uncertainties. Zelenskyy has framed the talks as a test of Russia’s willingness to end the war, stating Putin’s non-attendance would signal continued aggression.

Diplomats view the negotiations as a concession to Russian delaying tactics, with little expectation of a breakthrough. The war’s toll—thousands dead, millions displaced—underscores the urgency, yet both sides remain entrenched. Russia seeks territorial concessions, while Ukraine demands full sovereignty. The establishment narrative often casts talks as progress, but past failures temper optimism.

Turkey’s role as a mediator adds complexity, given its balancing act between NATO and Russia. The outcome of today’s talks could shape the conflict’s trajectory, but the risk of escalation persists if negotiations falter. Global attention is fixed on Istanbul as the world awaits signs of progress or further deadlock. Photo by Carlos Delgado, Wikimedia commons.