Britain's Labour Party is poised for a historic victory in Thursday's national election, according to a forecast by the polling company Survation released on Tuesday.

Survation's central projection indicates that Keir Starmer's Labour Party is set to secure 484 out of 650 seats in parliament. This would surpass the 418 seats won by former leader Tony Blair during his landmark 1997 landslide victory, marking the highest number of seats Labour has ever achieved.

The Conservative Party, which has governed for the past 14 years, is predicted to win only 64 seats. This would represent their lowest number since the party's founding in 1834.

The right-wing Reform UK party is expected to win seven seats.

Survation's analysis employed the Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) technique, which estimates local-level public opinion from large national samples. Pollsters describe this as a model based on polling data, rather than a traditional poll.

Other MRP analyses have predicted a smaller margin of victory for Labour, but all have consistently indicated a Labour win.

Additionally, a recent poll by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, which measured nationwide vote share, showed Labour's lead slightly narrowing but still projected a comfortable win for the party. Photo by Alex Lee, Wikimedia commons.