The unprecedented heatwave experienced in the UK during 2022 will soon be considered mild compared to what lies ahead, according to the Met Office. In a recent report, the Met Office
highlighted the extraordinary nature of the previous year, with temperatures soaring over 40°C for the first time in UK history. If carbon emissions continue at expected levels, hot years like 2022 will become the norm by 2060. Furthermore, by the end of this century, even 2022 would be considered a relatively cool year.
Climate change has played a significant role in driving extreme temperatures in the UK, and it continues to impact all regions of the country. Last year's heatwave, which contributed to making 2022 the warmest year since records began in 1884, saw the UK's highest daily temperature reaching 40.3°C, surpassing previous records by a substantial margin. The Met Office emphasized that the occurrence of such extreme temperatures is accelerating rapidly.
Notably, the study revealed that, with the exception of December, every month in 2022 was warmer than the 1991-2020 average. Changes in the jet stream, believed to be influenced by climate change, might have contributed to the prolonged heatwave. These alterations in weather patterns could explain why the UK is currently experiencing a wetter summer.
The Met Office's report serves as a warning that climate change is a pressing reality. Under a medium emissions scenario, the UK faces a 1 in 15 chance of hitting 40°C annually by the end of the century. To better prepare for such extreme events, the government's independent climate advisers stress the need for stronger climate change preparations to ensure the nation can cope with the challenges of increasingly intense heatwaves and other extreme weather conditions like flooding. As the world grapples with climate change, the UK's experience in 2022 may indeed be a sign of the changing climate to come in future years. Photo by Mark Ramsay from London, Wikimedia commons.