British domestic-focused mid-cap stocks saw significant gains on Friday following the centre-left Labour Party's decisive victory in the parliamentary election. Blue chip stocks, government bond
prices, and the pound all strengthened amid hopes for economic stability under the new government.
The FTSE 250 midcap index surged as much as 1.8% in early trading to its highest level since April 2022, reflecting optimism about the prospect of a Labour-led administration providing stability after 14 years of Conservative rule.
Meanwhile, the blue chip FTSE 100 index edged up 0.2%, and the yield on 10-year British government bonds dropped 3 basis points to 4.17%, outperforming other European markets. Labour secured a substantial majority in the 650-seat parliament, dealing Rishi Sunak's Conservatives their worst electoral defeat in history.
"A landslide victory provides the clarity and stability that equity markets need in today's volatile world," commented Ben Ritchie, head of developed market equities at abrdn. "Businesses with significant exposure to the UK economy, especially those in the FTSE 250 and FTSE Small Cap, stand to benefit."
Notably, British home builders saw their shares rise by 2.3%, with expectations that Labour's policies could lead to reinstated housebuilding targets and increased investment in local planning departments.
Analysts at Goldman Sachs indicated that Labour's manifesto, while implying modest changes to fiscal policy, could boost near-term demand, prompting an upward revision in GDP growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026.
In the bond market, British government bonds, or gilts, were viewed positively following the election outcome, with expectations of reduced political volatility supporting investor sentiment. The spread between British and German 10-year bond yields narrowed to 159 basis points, reflecting improved market confidence.
Looking ahead, bond investors will monitor the Bank of England, which is anticipated to lower interest rates in the coming months. Sterling strengthened against the dollar to $1.2775 and remained stable against the euro, signaling market confidence in the UK's economic outlook post-election.
Overall, the British currency's performance this year underscores optimism that a period of heightened political and economic uncertainty, seen under Conservative leadership, may be coming to an end. Photo by Kaihsu Tai, Wikimedia commons.